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Uhlelo lwesexwayiso sesikhathi sangempela lungavikela imiphakathi esengozini ezikhukhuleni

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I-SMART convergence research approach ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukubandakanywa ekuklameni ukuqapha kanye nohlelo lokuxwayisa ukuze kuhlinzekwe ngolwazi oluyisixwayiso kusenesikhathi ukuze kuncishiswe izinhlekelele.Ikhredithi: Izingozi Zemvelo kanye Nesayensi Yesistimu Yomhlaba (2023).I-DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023

Ukuzibandakanya nemiphakathi ekwakheni uhlelo lwesexwayiso sangesikhathi sangempela kungasiza ekwehliseni umthelela ovame ukulimaza wezikhukhula kubantu nasezimpahleni—ikakhulukazi ezindaweni ezinezintaba lapho izehlakalo zamanzi ezidlulele ziyinkinga "embi", ucwaningo olusha lwembula.

Izikhukhula ezisheshayo ziya ziba njalo futhi zilimaza izimpilo nempahla yabantu abasengozini, kodwa abacwaningi bakholelwa ukuthi ukusebenzisa indlela ye-SMART (bona isithombe esingenhla) ukuze bahlanganyele nalabo abahlala ezindaweni ezinjalo kuzosiza ukukhomba kangcono ingozi evela ezikhukhuleni.

Ososayensi bakholelwa ukuthi ukuhlanganisa imininingwane yesimo sezulu nolwazi olumayelana nendlela abantu abahlala futhi basebenza ngayo ezindaweni ezinjalo, kuzosiza abaphathi bezinhlekelele, izazi ze-hydrologist, nonjiniyela baklame izindlela ezingcono zokuhlaba umkhosi ngaphambi kwezikhukhula ezinkulu.

Ukushicilela abakutholile ku-Natural Hazards kanye ne-Earth System Sciences, ithimba labacwaningi bamazwe ngamazwe eliholwa yiNyuvesi yaseBirmingham likholelwa ukuthi ukuhlanganisa isayensi, inqubomgomo kanye nezindlela eziholwa ngumphakathi wendawo kuzosiza ekwenzeni izinqumo zemvelo ezifanelana kangcono nesimo sendawo.

Umbhali-mbhali u-Tahmina Yasmin, Umlingani Wokucwaninga Nge-Postdoctoral e-University of Birmingham, waphawula, "Inkinga 'embi' inselele yezenhlalo noma yamasiko okunzima noma okungenakwenzeka ukuyixazulula ngenxa yemvelo yayo eyinkimbinkimbi, exhumene. Sikholelwa ukuthi ukuhlanganisa isayensi yezenhlalakahle kanye idatha yesimo sezulu izosiza ukukhomba izingxenye ezingaziwa zendida lapho uklama isistimu yesixwayiso sangaphambi kwesikhathi.

"Ukuxoxisana kangcono nemiphakathi nokuhlaziya izici zomphakathi ezihlonzwe umphakathi osengcupheni-ngokwesibonelo, ukuhlala ngokungemthetho eceleni kosebe lomfula noma imijondolo-kuzosiza labo mgomo wokushayela ukuthi baqonde kangcono ubungozi obubangelwa yilokhu kudlulela kwe-hydrometeorological futhi bahlele ukusabela kwezikhukhula kanye nokunciphisa okuhlinzeka imiphakathi. ngokuvikelwa okuthuthukisiwe."

Abacwaningi bathi ukusebenzisa indlela ye-SMART kusiza abenzi benqubomgomo ukuthi baveze ubungozi bomphakathi kanye nobungozi, ngokusebenzisa isethi yezimiso ezibalulekile:

● S= Ukuqonda okwabiwe ngobungozi okuqinisekisa ukuthi iqembu ngalinye labantu emphakathini liyamelwa futhi kusetshenziswa izindlela eziningi zokuqoqa imininingwane.

● M= Ukuqapha ubungozi kanye nokusungula izinhlelo eziyisixwayiso ezakha ukwethembana kanye nokushintshisana ngolwazi olubucayi lwengozi—okusiza ekugcineni uhlelo lokubikezela.

● A= IsakhiwoAukuqwashisa ngokuqeqeshwa kanye nemisebenzi yokuthuthukisa amandla egxilisa ukuqonda kwesimo sezulu sangempela kanye nolwazi lokuxwayisa ngezikhukhula.

● RT= Ekhombisa ukuhlela ngaphambiliniRizenzo zivuliweTIme ngezinhlelo eziphelele zokulawulwa kwezinhlekelele kanye nezinhlelo zokuphuma ezisekelwe esixwayiso esikhishwe yi-EWS.

Umlobi-mbhali uDavid Hannah, uSolwazi weHydrology kanye noSihlalo we-UNESCO kuSayensi Yamanzi eNyuvesi yaseBirmingham, uphawule wathi, “Ukuthuthukisa ukwethenjwa komphakathi ezinhlakeni zikahulumeni kanye nokubikezela okugxile kubuchwepheshe, kuyilapho kusetshenziswa izindlela eziholwa umphakathi zokuqoqa ulwazi ezindaweni eziyinqaba ezisezintabeni. izifunda zibalulekile ekuvikeleni abantu abasengozini.

"Ukusebenzisa le ndlela ye-SMART yokubandakanya imiphakathi ekuthuthukiseni izinhlelo zokuxwayisa zakuqala ezibandakanyayo nezinenjongo ngokungangabazeki kuzosiza ukuthuthukisa umthamo, ukuzivumelanisa nezimo, nokuqina lapho kubhekene nokweqisa kwamanzi okwedlulele, njengezikhukhula nesomiso, nokwanda kokungaqiniseki ngaphansi kokushintsha komhlaba."

Ulwazi olwengeziwe:U-Tahmina Yasmin et al, Ukuxhumana Kafushane: Ukubandakanywa ekwakhiweni kwesistimu yesixwayiso yangaphambi kwesikhathi yokuqina kwezikhukhula, Izingozi Zemvelo kanye Nesayensi Yesistimu Yomhlaba (2023).I-DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Apr-10-2023